Line path on the left of the story, model gap on the right. A move is not an edge by itself.
October Fed cut54¢ → 58¢ · Kalshi+9%edgeChiefs ML−175 → −156 · FanDuel+11%edgeBills ML−108 → −132 · FanDuel+7%edgeBUF–PIT under 43.5−102 → +117 · FanDuel+9%edgeCPI under 2.6%27¢ → 32¢ · Kalshi+14%edgeBTC above $75k Friday24¢ → 29¢ · Kalshi+9%edgeDodgers ML−155 → −178 · FanDuel+6%edgeAllen 2+ pass TD+105 → −104 · Betr+7%edgeLions ML−165 → −150 · FanDuel-5%edgePackers +3.5−120 → −117 · FanDuel-6%edgeMahomes 275+ pass yds−105 → −113 · FanDuel+8%edgeGoff 2+ pass TD−108 → −117 · Betr+6%edgeSenate flips29¢ → 33¢ · Polymarket+8%edgeSutton anytime TD+310 → +270 · FanDuel-5%edgeRecession in 202615¢ → 18¢ · Polymarket+9%edgeChiefs −3.5−108 → −104 · FanDuel+3%edge