MLB · FanDuel · Philadelphia at Los Angeles
Dodgers ML
Market
64%
FinBets model
70%
Edge
+6%
Payout
+56%
-178
Verdict
Lean
Model signal, not an order. Low risk.
Edge score
68
Expected value
FinBets model70%
Market implied64%
Why the model disagrees
Starting pitching
Supports
Los Angeles has the better starter-and-pen composite in this spot.
Lineup
Supports
The Dodgers’ order has the higher contact-plus-power blend against this arm.
Price
Mixed
The market already shortened to 64%. The gap is real, but smaller than the Chiefs side.
Line path
−155 → −178 · implied chance rose
- Public on this side
- 64%
- Liquidity
- Deep · 86
Sharp flow has leaned the same way as the model.
What could change the number
- Starter scratch
- Bullpen usage from last night
- Wind at the yard
- Lineup change