NFL · Betr · Detroit at Green Bay
Goff 2+ pass TD
Market
54%
FinBets model
60%
Edge
+6%
Payout
+85%
-117
Verdict
Lean
Model signal, not an order. Moderate risk.
Edge score
60
Expected value
FinBets model60%
Market implied54%
Why the model disagrees
Recent rates
Supports
Goff has cleared two touchdown passes in four of the last five.
Opponent
Supports
Green Bay’s red-zone defense is ordinary in this sample, not elite.
Book
Mixed
Betr’s price is usable, but the market is thinner than the Sunday board.
QB · Detroit
Jared Goff
Pass TD · line 1.5 · last five
Line path
−108 → −117 · implied chance rose
- Public on this side
- 55%
- Liquidity
- Tradable · 63
No clear sharp tell in the sample.
What could change the number
- Starting lineup change
- Injury update
- Sharp line movement
- Weather shift
- Unexpected player availability
Open the game file
Sample price from Betr. Not a bet slip.